September 21, 2010
August 10, 2010
Statement·Presser·Minutes
BBBen S. BernankeSeptember 21, 2010 FOMC Statement
FOMC statement
FOMC statement
For immediate release
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in June August indicates that the pace of recovery in output and employment has slowed in recent months. Household spending is increasing gradually, but remains constrained by high unemployment, modest income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Business spending on equipment and software is rising; however, rising, though less rapidly than earlier in the year, while investment in nonresidential structures continues to be weak and employers weak. Employers remain reluctant to add to payrolls. Housing starts remain are at a depressed level. Bank lending has continued to contract. Nonetheless, the contract, but at a reduced rate in recent months. The Committee anticipates a gradual return to higher levels of resource utilization in a context of price stability, although the pace of economic recovery is likely to be more modest in the near term than had been anticipated. term.
Measures of underlying inflation are currently at levels somewhat below those the Committee judges most consistent, over the longer run, with its mandate to promote maximum employment and price stability. With substantial resource slack continuing to restrain cost pressures and longer-term inflation expectations stable, inflation is likely to remain subdued for some time before rising to levels the Committee considers consistent with its mandate.
The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of for the federal funds rate for an extended period. The Committee also will maintain its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its securities holdings.
The Committee will continue to monitor the economic outlook and financial developments and will employ its policy tools as necessary is prepared to promote provide additional accommodation if needed to support the economic recovery and price stability. to return inflation, over time, to levels consistent with its mandate.
Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; James Bullard; Elizabeth A. Duke; Donald L. Kohn; Sandra Pianalto; Eric S. Rosengren; Daniel K. Tarullo; and Kevin M. Warsh.
Voting against the policy was Thomas M. Hoenig, who judges judged that the economy is recovering modestly, as projected. continues to recover at a moderate pace. Accordingly, he believed that continuing to express the expectation of exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period was no longer warranted and limits the Committee's ability will lead to adjust policy when needed. future imbalances that undermine stable long-run growth. In addition, given economic and financial conditions, Mr. Hoenig did not believe that keeping constant the size of the Federal Reserve's holdings of longer-term continuing to reinvest principal payments from its securities at their current level holdings was required to support a return to the Committee's Committee’s policy objectives.
Measures of underlying inflation have trended lower in recent quarters and, with substantial resource slack continuing to restrain cost pressures and longer-term inflation expectations stable, inflation is likely to be subdued for some time.
To help support the economic recovery in a context of price stability, the Committee will keep constant the Federal Reserve's holdings of securities at their current level by reinvesting principal payments from agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in longer-term Treasury securities.1The Committee will continue to roll over the Federal Reserve's holdings of Treasury securities as they mature.
1. The Open Market Desk will issue a technical note shortly after the statement providing operational details on how it will carry out these transactions. Return to text
Our summary
What changed
- The FOMC noted that business spending is rising less rapidly than earlier in the year and that bank lending has contracted at a reduced rate.
- Inflation language shifted: underlying inflation is now seen as somewhat below levels consistent with the mandate, and is expected to remain subdued before rising to those levels.
- The FOMC dropped the specific reinvestment detail (agency debt and MBS into longer-term Treasuries) and now simply says it will maintain its existing reinvestment policy.
- The statement added that the FOMC is prepared to provide additional accommodation if needed to support recovery and return inflation to mandate-consistent levels.
- The vote remained 8-1, with Thomas Hoenig dissenting for similar reasons, but his dissent now cites potential future imbalances and no longer mentions the size of securities holdings.
Implications
The shift in inflation language and the explicit readiness to provide additional accommodation signal a more dovish stance, suggesting the FOMC is open to further easing if conditions warrant.
The simplified reinvestment language may indicate a more flexible approach to balance sheet policy, while the unchanged extended-period guidance suggests no near-term rate hike.
Summary generated automatically from the statements. Not investment advice.