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August 10, 2010 FOMC Statement

Target range 0.00–0.25% unchanged Vote 9–1 · Dissents: Hoenig ↑ Tone: Clearly dovish -0.99

FOMC statement

FOMC statement

For immediate release

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in April suggests June indicates that the economic pace of recovery is proceeding in output and that the labor market is improving gradually. employment has slowed in recent months. Household spending is increasing gradually, but remains constrained by high unemployment, modest income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Business spending on equipment and software has risen significantly; is rising; however, investment in nonresidential structures continues to be weak and employers remain reluctant to add to payrolls. Housing starts remain at a depressed level. Financial conditions have become less supportive of economic growth on balance, largely reflecting developments abroad. Bank lending has continued to contract in recent months. contract. Nonetheless, the Committee anticipates a gradual return to higher levels of resource utilization in a context of price stability, although the pace of economic recovery is likely to be moderate for a time. more modest in the near term than had been anticipated.

Prices Measures of energy and other commodities have declined somewhat in recent months, and underlying inflation has have trended lower. With lower in recent quarters and, with substantial resource slack continuing to restrain cost pressures and longer-term inflation expectations stable, inflation is likely to be subdued for some time.

The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period.

To help support the economic recovery in a context of price stability, the Committee will keep constant the Federal Reserve's holdings of securities at their current level by reinvesting principal payments from agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in longer-term Treasury securities.1The Committee will continue to roll over the Federal Reserve's holdings of Treasury securities as they mature.

The Committee will continue to monitor the economic outlook and financial developments and will employ its policy tools as necessary to promote economic recovery and price stability.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; James Bullard; Elizabeth A. Duke; Donald L. Kohn; Sandra Pianalto; Eric S. Rosengren; Daniel K. Tarullo; and Kevin M. Warsh.

Voting against the policy was Thomas M. Hoenig, who judges that the economy is recovering modestly, as projected. Accordingly, he believed that continuing to express the expectation of exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period was no longer warranted and limits the Committee's ability to adjust policy when needed. In addition, given economic and financial conditions, Mr. Hoenig did not believe that keeping constant the size of the Federal Reserve's holdings of longer-term securities at their current level was required to support a return to the Committee's policy objectives.

1. The Open Market Desk will issue a technical note shortly after the statement providing operational details on how it will carry out these transactions. Return to text

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; James Bullard; Elizabeth A. Duke; Donald L. Kohn; Sandra Pianalto; Eric S. Rosengren; Daniel K. Tarullo; and Kevin M. Warsh. Voting against the policy action was Thomas M. Hoenig, who believed that continuing to express the expectation of exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period was no longer warranted because it could lead to a build-up of future imbalances and increase risks to longer-run macroeconomic and financial stability, while limiting the Committee’s flexibility to begin raising rates modestly.

Source

Our summary

What changed

  • The FOMC noted that the pace of recovery in output and employment has slowed in recent months, a downgrade from the previous assessment of a proceeding recovery.
  • The statement removed the reference to financial conditions becoming less supportive of growth, largely reflecting developments abroad.
  • The FOMC announced it will keep its securities holdings constant by reinvesting principal payments from agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities into longer-term Treasury securities, and will continue rolling over maturing Treasury holdings.
  • The vote remained 9-1, with Thomas M. Hoenig dissenting again, now also objecting to the new securities reinvestment policy as unnecessary.
  • The language on inflation was slightly revised to say underlying inflation has trended lower in recent quarters, rather than just being subdued.

Implications

The new reinvestment policy signals a shift toward actively supporting the recovery through balance sheet measures, even as the federal funds rate guidance remains unchanged.

The downgraded economic outlook and softer inflation language suggest the FOMC sees a need for continued accommodation, with the dissent highlighting internal debate over the extended-period guidance and the new asset purchase approach.

Summary generated automatically from the statements. Not investment advice.