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January 28, 2026 FOMC Statement

Target range 3.50–3.75% unchanged Vote 10–2 · Dissents: Miran ↓, Waller ↓ Tone: Balanced +0.05

FOMC statement

Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement

For release at 2:00 p.m. EST

Available indicators suggest that economic activity has been expanding at a solid pace. Job gains have remained low, and the unemployment rate has shown some signs of stabilization. Inflation remains somewhat elevated.

The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. Uncertainty about the economic outlook remains elevated. The Committee is attentive to the risks to both sides of its dual mandate and judges that downside risks to employment rose in recent months. mandate.

In support of its goals and in light of goals, the shift in the balance of risks, the Committee decided to lower maintain the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point at 3‑1/2 to 3-1/2 to 3‑3/4 percent. In considering the extent and timing of additional adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks. The Committee is strongly committed to supporting maximum employment and returning inflation to its 2 percent objective.

In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook. The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee's goals. The Committee's assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments.

Voting for the monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chair; John C. Williams, Vice Chair; Michael S. Barr; Michelle W. Bowman; Susan M. Collins; Lisa D. Cook; Beth M. Hammack; Philip N. Jefferson; Alberto G. Musalem; Neel Kashkari; Lorie K. Logan; and Christopher J. Waller. Anna Paulson. Voting against this action were Stephen I. Miran, Miran and Christopher J. Waller, who preferred to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/2 1/4 percentage point at this meeting; and Austan D. Goolsbee and Jeffrey R. Schmid, who preferred no change to the target range for the federal funds rate at this meeting.

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Implementation Note issued January 28, 2026

Available indicators suggest that economic activity has been expanding at a moderate pace. Job gains have slowed this year, and the unemployment rate has edged up through September. More recent indicators are consistent with these developments. Inflation has moved up since earlier in the year and remains somewhat elevated.

The Committee judges that reserve balances have declined to ample levels and will initiate purchases of shorter-term Treasury securities as needed to maintain an ample supply of reserves on an ongoing basis.

Implementation Note issued December 10, 2025

Source

Our summary

What changed

  • The FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent, after cutting by 1/4 point in December.
  • Economic activity is now described as expanding at a solid pace, up from moderate, with job gains low and unemployment stabilizing.
  • The sentence on downside risks to employment was removed; the FOMC now only notes risks to both sides of the dual mandate.
  • The balance sheet policy sentence about purchasing shorter-term Treasury securities was removed.
  • The vote was 10-2, with Miran and Waller dissenting in favor of a 1/4 point cut; Goolsbee and Schmid no longer dissent.

Implications

The removal of the employment-risk language and the balance-sheet purchase plan suggests the FOMC sees less urgency to ease further, consistent with a pause after December's cut.

The shift to 'solid' growth and stabilized unemployment, while inflation remains elevated, signals a more neutral stance, with future moves dependent on incoming data.

Markets may interpret the dissents from two members favoring a cut as a sign of internal division, but the majority's hold suggests patience before any further easing.

Summary generated automatically from the statements. Not investment advice.

Implementation Note

The settings that put the decision into effect: the interest rate paid on reserves, the FOMC's instructions to the New York Fed's trading desk, and the discount rate. Changes are marked the same way as in the statement.

Source

Press conference

January 28, 2026, 2:30 p.m. ET · Read the transcript

What Powell said that the statement didn't

Summary generated automatically from the transcript and the statement.