August 01, 2012
June 20, 2012
Statement·Presser·Minutes
BBBen S. BernankeAugust 1, 2012 FOMC Statement
FOMC statement
Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
For immediate release
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in April June suggests that economic activity decelerated somewhat over the economy has been expanding moderately first half of this year. However, growth Growth in employment has slowed been slow in recent months, and the unemployment rate remains elevated. Business fixed investment has continued to advance. Household spending appears to be has been rising at a somewhat slower pace than earlier in the year. Despite some further signs of improvement, the housing sector remains depressed. Inflation has declined, declined since earlier this year, mainly reflecting lower prices of crude oil and gasoline, and longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable.
Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee expects economic growth to remain moderate over coming quarters and then to pick up very gradually. Consequently, the Committee anticipates that the unemployment rate will decline only slowly toward levels that it judges to be consistent with its dual mandate. Furthermore, strains in global financial markets continue to pose significant downside risks to the economic outlook. The Committee anticipates that inflation over the medium term will run at or below the rate that it judges most consistent with its dual mandate.
To support a stronger economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at the rate most consistent with its dual mandate, the Committee expects to maintain a highly accommodative stance for monetary policy. In particular, the Committee decided today to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and currently anticipates that economic conditions--including low rates of resource utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium run--are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through late 2014.
The Committee also decided to continue through the end of the year its program to extend the average maturity of its holdings of securities. Specifically, the Committee intends to purchase Treasury securities with remaining maturities of 6 years to 30 years at the current pace as announced in June, and to sell or redeem an equal amount of Treasury securities with remaining maturities of approximately 3 years or less. This continuation of the maturity extension program should put downward pressure on longer-term interest rates and help to make broader financial conditions more accommodative. The Committee it is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities. The Committee is prepared to take further action will closely monitor incoming information on economic and financial developments and will provide additional accommodation as appropriate needed to promote a stronger economic recovery and sustained improvement in labor market conditions in a context of price stability.
Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Dennis P. Lockhart; Sandra Pianalto; Jerome H. Powell; Sarah Bloom Raskin; Jeremy C. Stein; Daniel K. Tarullo; John C. Williams; and Janet L. Yellen. Voting against the action was Jeffrey M. Lacker, who opposed continuation preferred to omit the description of the maturity extension program. time period over which economic conditions are likely to warrant an exceptionally low level of the federal funds rate.
Statement Regarding Continuation of the Maturity Extension Program
Our summary
What changed
- The FOMC revised its economic assessment, noting activity decelerated somewhat over the first half of the year, with slow employment growth and a still-depressed housing sector.
- Inflation language was updated to say it has declined since earlier this year, rather than just declined, reflecting lower energy prices.
- The maturity extension program continuation is now described as 'as announced in June,' and the sentence about its expected downward pressure on longer-term rates was removed.
- The FOMC added a commitment to closely monitor incoming data and provide additional accommodation as needed, replacing the prior pledge to take further action as appropriate.
- The sole dissenter, Jeffrey M. Lacker, changed his objection from opposing the maturity extension program to preferring omission of the federal funds rate time-period description.
Implications
The removal of the explicit statement about the program's effect on longer-term rates and the addition of a monitoring pledge suggest the FOMC is signaling flexibility to adjust policy based on incoming data.
The revised dissent indicates Lacker's concern shifted to the forward guidance language, highlighting internal debate over the time-based rate commitment.
The downgraded economic assessment and the new accommodation pledge may be read as a step toward potential further easing, though the statement stops short of announcing new measures.
Summary generated automatically from the statements. Not investment advice.