June 22, 2011
April 27, 2011
Statement·Presser·Minutes·Policy
BBBen S. BernankeJune 22, 2011 FOMC Statement
FOMC statement
FOMC statement
For immediate release
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March April indicates that the economic recovery is proceeding continuing at a moderate pace and overall conditions in pace, though somewhat more slowly than the Committee had expected. Also, recent labor market indicators have been weaker than anticipated. The slower pace of the recovery reflects in part factors that are improving gradually. likely to be temporary, including the damping effect of higher food and energy prices on consumer purchasing power and spending as well as supply chain disruptions associated with the tragic events in Japan. Household spending and business investment in equipment and software continue to expand. However, investment in nonresidential structures is still weak, and the housing sector continues to be depressed. Commodity prices have risen significantly since last summer, and concerns about global supplies of crude oil have contributed to a further increase in oil prices since the Committee met in March. Inflation has picked up in recent months, but mainly reflecting higher prices for some commodities and imported goods, as well as the recent supply chain disruptions. However, longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable and measures of underlying inflation are still subdued. stable.
Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The unemployment rate remains elevated, and measures elevated; however, the Committee expects the pace of underlying inflation continue recovery to be somewhat low, relative pick up over coming quarters and the unemployment rate to resume its gradual decline toward levels that the Committee judges to be consistent, over the longer run, consistent with its dual mandate. Increases in Inflation has moved up recently, but the prices Committee anticipates that inflation will subside to levels at or below those consistent with the Committee's dual mandate as the effects of past energy and other commodities have pushed up inflation in recent months. The commodity price increases dissipate. However, the Committee expects these effects to be transitory, but it will continue to pay close attention to the evolution of inflation and inflation expectations. The Committee continues to anticipate a gradual return to higher levels of resource utilization in a context of price stability.
To promote a stronger pace of the ongoing economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at levels consistent with its mandate, the Committee decided today to continue expanding its holdings of securities as announced in November. In particular, keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent. The Committee is maintaining its existing policy continues to anticipate that economic conditions--including low rates of reinvesting principal payments from its securities holdings resource utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium run--are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate for an extended period. The Committee will complete its purchases of $600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities by the end of the current quarter. this month and will maintain its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its securities holdings. The Committee will regularly review the size and composition of its securities holdings in light of incoming information and is prepared to adjust those holdings as needed to best foster maximum employment and price stability. appropriate.
The Committee will monitor the economic outlook and financial developments and will act as needed to best foster maximum employment and price stability.
Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Charles L. Evans; Richard W. Fisher; Narayana Kocherlakota; Charles I. Plosser; Sarah Bloom Raskin; Daniel K. Tarullo; and Janet L. Yellen.
The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate for an extended period.
The Committee will continue to monitor the economic outlook and financial developments and will employ its policy tools as necessary to support the economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at levels consistent with its mandate.
Our summary
What changed
- The FOMC noted the recovery is proceeding more slowly than expected, citing temporary factors like higher food and energy prices and Japan supply disruptions.
- It revised its inflation outlook, now expecting inflation to subside to levels at or below its mandate as commodity effects dissipate.
- The FOMC will complete its $600 billion Treasury purchases by the end of this month, earlier than the previous end-of-quarter timeline.
- The federal funds rate target remains at 0 to 1/4 percent, with the forward guidance now emphasizing a subdued medium-run inflation outlook.
- The statement's closing language shifted from 'employ its policy tools as necessary' to 'act as needed to best foster maximum employment and price stability.'
Implications
The downgrade in the recovery assessment and the earlier completion of asset purchases suggest the FOMC is winding down its large-scale purchase program while maintaining accommodation through low rates.
The emphasis on temporary factors and the expectation of a pickup in recovery signal that the FOMC views the slowdown as transitory, potentially reducing market expectations for further easing.
The shift in forward guidance to a medium-run inflation outlook may indicate a slightly more dovish tilt, as it focuses on subdued inflation rather than stable expectations.
Summary generated automatically from the statements. Not investment advice.
Press conference
June 22, 2011, 2:30 p.m. ET · Read the transcript
What Bernanke said that the statement didn't
- The chair said the FOMC's longer-run projections for output growth have a central tendency of 2.5 to 2.8 percent and for the unemployment rate 5.2 to 5.6 percent, unchanged from April.
- The chair said the central tendency of participants' inflation projections is 2.3 to 2.5 percent for 2011, declining to 1.5 to 2.0 percent in both 2012 and 2013.
- The chair said the unemployment rate has risen by 0.3 percentage points since March and new claims for unemployment insurance have moved somewhat higher.
- The chair said the Fed has not made any commitment about the time frame for allowing its securities portfolio to run off rather than reinvesting.
- The chair said the banks the Fed regulates are not significantly exposed directly to peripheral European countries, but have significant exposures to European banks in nonperipheral countries, and stress tests showed the effects of a Greek default on their capital would be very small.
Summary generated automatically from the transcript and the statement.