April 28, 2010
March 16, 2010
Statement·Presser·Minutes
BBBen S. BernankeApril 28, 2010 FOMC Statement
FOMC statement
FOMC statement
For immediate release
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January March suggests that economic activity has continued to strengthen and that the labor market is stabilizing. Household beginning to improve. Growth in household spending is expanding at a moderate rate has picked up recently but remains constrained by high unemployment, modest income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Business spending on equipment and software has risen significantly. However, significantly; however, investment in nonresidential structures is declining, housing starts have been flat at a depressed level, declining and employers remain reluctant to add to payrolls. Housing starts have edged up but remain at a depressed level. While bank lending continues to contract, financial market conditions remain supportive of economic growth. Although the pace of economic recovery is likely to be moderate for a time, the Committee anticipates a gradual return to higher levels of resource utilization in a context of price stability.
With substantial resource slack continuing to restrain cost pressures and longer-term inflation expectations stable, inflation is likely to be subdued for some time.
The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period. To provide support to mortgage lending and housing markets and to improve overall conditions in private credit markets, the Federal Reserve has been purchasing $1.25 trillion of agency mortgage-backed securities and about $175 billion of agency debt; those purchases are nearing completion, and the remaining transactions will be executed by the end of this month. The Committee will continue to monitor the economic outlook and financial developments and will employ its policy tools as necessary to promote economic recovery and price stability.
In light of improved functioning of financial markets, the Federal Reserve has been closing closed all but one of the special liquidity facilities that it created to support markets during the crisis. The only remaining such program, the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility, is scheduled to close on June 30 for loans backed by new-issue commercial mortgage-backed securities and securities; it closed on March 31 for loans backed by all other types of collateral.
Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; James Bullard; Elizabeth A. Duke; Donald L. Kohn; Sandra Pianalto; Eric S. Rosengren; Daniel K. Tarullo; and Kevin M. Warsh. Voting against the policy action was Thomas M. Hoenig, who believed that continuing to express the expectation of exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period was no longer warranted because it could lead to the buildup a build-up of financial future imbalances and increase risks to longer-run longer run macroeconomic and financial stability. stability, while limiting the Committee’s flexibility to begin raising rates modestly.
Our summary
What changed
- The FOMC upgraded its labor market assessment from 'stabilizing' to 'beginning to improve' and noted household spending growth has picked up recently.
- It revised housing starts language from 'flat at a depressed level' to 'edged up but remain at a depressed level'.
- The statement removed the paragraph on the nearing completion of agency MBS and debt purchases, indicating those purchases are no longer ongoing.
- The Fed noted it has closed all but one special liquidity facility, with the TALF now closed for all collateral types except new-issue commercial MBS.
- The dissenting statement from Thomas Hoenig was expanded to add that the extended-period language could limit the FOMC's flexibility to begin raising rates modestly.
Implications
The removal of the purchase language suggests the Fed's large-scale asset purchases have concluded, shifting focus to the federal funds rate path.
The upgraded labor market and housing language, along with Hoenig's expanded dissent, may signal a slightly more optimistic outlook, but the FOMC still expects exceptionally low rates for an extended period.
Markets might interpret the changes as a modest step toward eventual normalization, though the statement maintains a cautious tone on inflation and resource slack.
Summary generated automatically from the statements. Not investment advice.