August 12, 2009
June 24, 2009
Statement·Presser·Minutes
BBBen S. BernankeAugust 12, 2009 FOMC Statement
FOMC statement
FOMC statement
For immediate release
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in April June suggests that the pace of economic contraction activity is slowing. leveling out. Conditions in financial markets have generally improved further in recent months. weeks. Household spending has shown further continued to show signs of stabilizing but remains constrained by ongoing job losses, sluggish income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Businesses are still cutting back on fixed investment and staffing but appear to be are making progress in bringing inventory stocks into better alignment with sales. Although economic activity is likely to remain weak for a time, the Committee continues to anticipate that policy actions to stabilize financial markets and institutions, fiscal and monetary stimulus, and market forces will contribute to a gradual resumption of sustainable economic growth in a context of price stability.
The prices of energy and other commodities have risen of late. However, substantial resource slack is likely to dampen cost pressures, and the Committee expects that inflation will remain subdued for some time.
In these circumstances, the Federal Reserve will employ all available tools to promote economic recovery and to preserve price stability. The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that economic conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period. As previously announced, to provide support to mortgage lending and housing markets and to improve overall conditions in private credit markets, the Federal Reserve will purchase a total of up to $1.25 trillion of agency mortgage-backed securities and up to $200 billion of agency debt by the end of the year. In addition, the Federal Reserve will buy up to is in the process of buying $300 billion of Treasury securities. To promote a smooth transition in markets as these purchases of Treasury securities are completed, the Committee has decided to gradually slow the pace of these transactions and anticipates that the full amount will be purchased by autumn. the end of October. The Committee will continue to evaluate the timing and overall amounts of its purchases of securities in light of the evolving economic outlook and conditions in financial markets. The Federal Reserve is monitoring the size and composition of its balance sheet and will make adjustments to its credit and liquidity programs as warranted.
Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Charles L. Evans; Donald L. Kohn; Jeffrey M. Lacker; Dennis P. Lockhart; Daniel K. Tarullo; Kevin M. Warsh; and Janet L. Yellen.
Our summary
What changed
- Upgraded the economic assessment from 'pace of contraction slowing' to 'activity leveling out' and financial markets from 'generally improved' to 'improved further'.
- Noted household spending is constrained by 'sluggish income growth' in addition to job losses, housing wealth, and tight credit.
- Changed Treasury purchase language from 'will buy up to $300 billion by autumn' to 'in the process of buying $300 billion' with a plan to slow purchases and complete by end of October.
- Added a voting paragraph listing all ten members voting for the action, with no dissents mentioned.
Implications
The upgraded language suggests the FOMC sees the downturn easing, but the continued emphasis on weak conditions and extended low rates indicates no near-term tightening.
The explicit plan to slow Treasury purchases and complete by October signals a deliberate wind-down of that program, likely to reduce market uncertainty about the Fed's balance sheet trajectory.
The unanimous vote may be read as broad internal agreement on the current policy stance and the gradual exit from one component of asset purchases.
Summary generated automatically from the statements. Not investment advice.