December 16, 2008
October 29, 2008
Statement·Presser·Minutes
BBBen S. BernankeDecember 16, 2008 FOMC Statement
FOMC statement
FOMC statement
For immediate release
The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to lower its establish a target range for the federal funds rate 50 basis points of 0 to 1 1/4 percent.
Since the Committee's last meeting, labor market conditions have deteriorated, and the available data indicate that consumer spending, business investment, and industrial production have declined. Financial markets remain quite strained and credit conditions tight. Overall, the outlook for economic activity has weakened further.
Meanwhile, inflationary pressures have diminished appreciably. In light of the declines in the prices of energy and other commodities and the weaker prospects for economic activity, the Committee expects inflation to moderate further in coming quarters to levels consistent with price stability. quarters.
The Federal Reserve will employ all available tools to promote the resumption of sustainable economic growth and to preserve price stability. In particular, the Committee anticipates that weak economic conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for some time.
The focus of the Committee's policy going forward will be to support the functioning of financial markets and stimulate the economy through open market operations and other measures that sustain the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet at a high level. As previously announced, over the next few quarters the Federal Reserve will purchase large quantities of agency debt and mortgage-backed securities to provide support to the mortgage and housing markets, and it stands ready to expand its purchases of agency debt and mortgage-backed securities as conditions warrant. The Committee is also evaluating the potential benefits of purchasing longer-term Treasury securities. Early next year, the Federal Reserve will also implement the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility to facilitate the extension of credit to households and small businesses. The Federal Reserve will continue to consider ways of using its balance sheet to further support credit markets and economic activity.
Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Christine M. Cumming; Elizabeth A. Duke; Richard W. Fisher; Donald L. Kohn; Randall S. Kroszner; Sandra Pianalto; Charles I. Plosser; Gary H. Stern; and Kevin M. Warsh.
In a related action, the Board of Governors unanimously approved a 50-basis-point 75-basis-point decrease in the discount rate to 1-1/4 1/2 percent. In taking this action, the Board approved the requests submitted by the Boards of Directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, New York, Cleveland, Richmond, Atlanta, Minneapolis, and San Francisco. The Board also established interest rates on required and excess reserve balances of 1/4 percent.
The pace of economic activity appears to have slowed markedly, owing importantly to a decline in consumer expenditures. Business equipment spending and industrial production have weakened in recent months, and slowing economic activity in many foreign economies is damping the prospects for U.S. exports. Moreover, the intensification of financial market turmoil is likely to exert additional restraint on spending, partly by further reducing the ability of households and businesses to obtain credit.
Recent policy actions, including today’s rate reduction, coordinated interest rate cuts by central banks, extraordinary liquidity measures, and official steps to strengthen financial systems, should help over time to improve credit conditions and promote a return to moderate economic growth. Nevertheless, downside risks to growth remain. The Committee will monitor economic and financial developments carefully and will act as needed to promote sustainable economic growth and price stability.
Our summary
What changed
- The FOMC replaced the 50-basis-point cut to a 1 percent target with a new target range of 0 to 1/4 percent for the federal funds rate.
- The statement now says labor market conditions have deteriorated and that consumer spending, business investment, and industrial production have declined, with the outlook weakened further.
- Inflationary pressures are described as having diminished appreciably, with expectations for inflation to moderate further in coming quarters.
- The FOMC added forward guidance that weak conditions likely warrant exceptionally low federal funds rates for some time, and detailed plans to expand balance sheet tools, including purchases of agency debt and mortgage-backed securities and evaluating longer-term Treasury purchases.
- The discount rate was cut by 75 basis points to 1/2 percent, and the Board set interest rates on required and excess reserve balances at 1/4 percent.
Implications
The shift to a target range and explicit forward guidance signals a commitment to keep rates near zero for an extended period, with policy focus moving toward quantitative easing and credit support.
The emphasis on balance sheet tools and the mention of potential Treasury purchases suggest the FOMC is prepared to expand unconventional measures if conditions warrant, which markets may read as a more aggressive easing stance.
The language on diminished inflation pressures and weaker outlook indicates a heightened concern about economic downside risks, reinforcing a dovish tilt in the statement.
Summary generated automatically from the statements. Not investment advice.