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August 7, 2007 FOMC Statement

Target rate 5.25% unchanged Vote 10–0 Tone: Leaning hawkish +0.50

FOMC statement

FOMC statement

For immediate release

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to keep its target for the federal funds rate at 5-1/4 percent.

Economic growth appears to have been was moderate during the first half of this year, despite the ongoing adjustment year. Financial markets have been volatile in recent weeks, credit conditions have become tighter for some households and businesses, and the housing sector. The correction is ongoing. Nevertheless, the economy seems likely to continue to expand at a moderate pace over coming quarters. quarters, supported by solid growth in employment and incomes and a robust global economy.

Readings on core inflation have improved modestly in recent months. However, a sustained moderation in inflation pressures has yet to be convincingly demonstrated. Moreover, the high level of resource utilization has the potential to sustain those pressures.

In these circumstances, Although the downside risks to growth have increased somewhat, the Committee's predominant policy concern remains the risk that inflation will fail to moderate as expected. Future policy adjustments will depend on the evolution of the outlook for both inflation and economic growth, as implied by incoming information.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Thomas M. Hoenig; Donald L. Kohn; Randall S. Kroszner; Cathy E. Minehan; Frederic S. Mishkin; Michael H. Moskow; William Poole; Eric Rosengren; and Kevin M. Warsh.

Source

Our summary

What changed

  • The FOMC noted that financial markets have been volatile and credit conditions have tightened for some households and businesses, while the housing correction continues.
  • It added that economic growth is supported by solid employment and income growth and a robust global economy.
  • The statement acknowledged that downside risks to growth have increased somewhat, though inflation remains the predominant policy concern.
  • The vote was unanimous, with Eric Rosengren replacing Cathy Minehan as a voting member.

Implications

The acknowledgment of tighter credit and increased downside risks suggests the FOMC is more attentive to growth risks, potentially paving the way for future easing if conditions deteriorate.

Markets may interpret the language as a subtle shift toward a more balanced risk assessment, though the continued emphasis on inflation indicates no imminent policy change.

Summary generated automatically from the statements. Not investment advice.