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December 13, 2005 FOMC Statement

Target rate 4.25% ▲ raised 0.25 pp Vote 10–0 Tone: Leaning hawkish +0.57

FOMC statement

FOMC Statement FOMC statement

For immediate release

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to raise its target for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 4 4-1/4 percent.

Despite elevated energy prices and hurricane-related disruptions, the expansion in economic activity appears solid. Core inflation has stayed relatively low in recent months and longer-term inflation expectations remain contained. Nevertheless, possible increases in resource utilization as well as elevated energy prices have the potential to add to inflation pressures.

The Committee perceives that, with appropriate monetary judges that some further measured policy action, firming is likely to be needed to keep the upside and downside risks to the attainment of both sustainable economic growth and price stability should be kept roughly equal. With underlying inflation expected to be contained, in balance. In any event, the Committee believes that policy accommodation can be removed at a pace that is likely to be measured. Nonetheless, the Committee will respond to changes in economic prospects as needed to fulfill its obligation to maintain price stability. foster these objectives.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Alan Greenspan, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Susan S. Bies; Roger W. Ferguson, Jr.; Richard W. Fisher; Donald L. Kohn; Michael H. Moskow; Mark W. Olson; Anthony M. Santomero; and Gary H. Stern.

In a related action, the Board of Governors unanimously approved a 25-basis point increase in the discount rate to 5 5-1/4 percent. In taking this action, the Board approved the requests submitted by the Boards of Directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Cleveland, Richmond, Atlanta, Chicago, St. Louis, Minneapolis, Kansas City, Dallas, and San Francisco.

Elevated energy prices and hurricane-related disruptions in economic activity have temporarily depressed output and employment. However, monetary policy accommodation, coupled with robust underlying growth in productivity, is providing ongoing support to economic activity that will likely be augmented by planned rebuilding in the hurricane-affected areas. The cumulative rise in energy and other costs has the potential to add to inflation pressures; however, core inflation has been relatively low in recent months and longer-term inflation expectations remain contained.

Source

Our summary

What changed

  • Raised the federal funds rate target by 25 basis points to 4-1/4 percent, up from 4 percent.
  • Upgraded the economic outlook, saying the expansion appears solid instead of temporarily depressed by hurricanes and energy prices.
  • Dropped references to productivity support and rebuilding, and now cites possible increases in resource utilization as an inflation risk.
  • Replaced the balanced-risks and measured-pace language with a judgment that some further measured policy firming is likely needed.
  • Approved a 25-basis point increase in the discount rate to 5-1/4 percent, up from 5 percent.

Implications

The shift from balanced risks to an explicit expectation of further measured firming signals the FOMC anticipates additional rate hikes in coming meetings.

The more solid growth assessment and added resource-utilization inflation risk suggest a slightly more hawkish tone, though the measured pace language keeps the path gradual.

Markets may read the removal of the temporary-disruption framing as confidence that the economy has absorbed the shocks, supporting continued tightening.

Summary generated automatically from the statements. Not investment advice.