September 20, 2005
August 9, 2005
Statement·Presser·Minutes
AGAlan GreenspanSeptember 20, 2005 FOMC Statement
FOMC statement
FOMC statement and Board discount rate action
For immediate release
The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to raise its target for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3-1/2 3-3/4 percent.
Output appeared poised to continue growing at a good pace before the tragic toll of Hurricane Katrina. The widespread devastation in the Gulf region, the associated dislocation of economic activity, and the boost to energy prices imply that spending, production, and employment will be set back in the near term. In addition to elevating premiums for some energy products, the disruption to the production and refining infrastructure may add to energy price volatility.
While these unfortunate developments have increased uncertainty about near-term economic performance, it is the Committee's view that they do not pose a more persistent threat. Rather, monetary policy accommodation, coupled with robust underlying growth in productivity, is providing ongoing support to economic activity. Higher energy and other costs have the potential to add to inflation pressures. However, core inflation has been relatively low in recent months and longer-term inflation expectations remain contained.
The Committee perceives that, with appropriate monetary policy action, the upside and downside risks to the attainment of both sustainable growth and price stability should be kept roughly equal. With underlying inflation expected to be contained, the Committee believes that policy accommodation can be removed at a pace that is likely to be measured. Nonetheless, the Committee will respond to changes in economic prospects as needed to fulfill its obligation to maintain price stability.
Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Alan Greenspan, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Susan S. Bies; Roger W. Ferguson, Jr.; Richard W. Fisher; Donald L. Kohn; Michael H. Moskow; Mark W. Olson; Anthony M. Santomero; and Gary H. Stern. Voting against was Mark W. Olson, who preferred no change in the federal funds rate target at this meeting.
In a related action, the Board of Governors unanimously approved a 25-basis-point increase in the discount rate to 4-1/2 4-3/4 percent. In taking this action, the Board approved the requests submitted by the Boards of Directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Cleveland, Richmond, Atlanta, Chicago, St. Louis, Minneapolis, Kansas City, Dallas, and San Francisco. Kansas City.
The Committee believes that, even after this action, the stance of monetary policy remains accommodative and, coupled with robust underlying growth in productivity, is providing ongoing support to economic activity. Aggregate spending, despite high energy prices, appears to have strengthened since late winter, and labor market conditions continue to improve gradually. Core inflation has been relatively low in recent months and longer-term inflation expectations remain well contained, but pressures on inflation have stayed elevated.
Our summary
What changed
- Raised the federal funds rate target by 25 basis points to 3-3/4 percent.
- Replaced the previous economic assessment with a discussion of Hurricane Katrina's near-term negative impact on spending, production, and employment, while noting it does not pose a persistent threat.
- Noted that higher energy and other costs have the potential to add to inflation pressures, but core inflation remains low and longer-term expectations are contained.
- Mark W. Olson dissented, preferring no change in the federal funds rate target at this meeting.
- Approved a 25-basis-point increase in the discount rate to 4-3/4 percent, with the list of approving Federal Reserve Banks reduced from twelve to seven.
Implications
The statement suggests the FOMC views the hurricane's effects as temporary, maintaining its measured pace of rate increases while acknowledging increased uncertainty. The dissent indicates some internal disagreement about the timing of further tightening, which markets might interpret as a sign of potential future pauses if economic data weaken.
Summary generated automatically from the statements. Not investment advice.