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September 16, 2003 FOMC Statement

Target rate 1.00% unchanged Vote 12–0 Tone: Clearly dovish -0.91

FOMC statement

FOMC statement

For immediate release

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to keep its target for the federal funds rate at 1 percent.

The Committee continues to believe that an accommodative stance of monetary policy, coupled with still-robust robust underlying growth in productivity, is providing important ongoing support to economic activity. The evidence accumulated over the intermeeting period shows confirms that spending is firming, although the labor market indicators are mixed. has been weakening. Business pricing power and increases in core consumer prices remain muted.

The Committee perceives that the upside and downside risks to the attainment of sustainable growth for the next few quarters are roughly equal. In contrast, the probability, though minor, of an unwelcome fall in inflation exceeds that of a rise in inflation from its already low level. The Committee judges that, on balance, the risk of inflation becoming undesirably low is likely to be remains the predominant concern for the foreseeable future. In these circumstances, the Committee believes that policy accommodation can be maintained for a considerable period.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Alan Greenspan, Chairman; Ben S. Bernanke; Susan S. Bies; J. Alfred Broaddus, Jr.; Roger W. Ferguson, Jr.; Edward M. Gramlich; Jack Guynn; Donald L. Kohn; Michael H. Moskow; Mark W. Olson; Robert T. Parry; and Jamie B. Stewart, Jr.

Source

Our summary

What changed

  • The FOMC upgraded its description of productivity growth from 'still-robust' to 'robust'.
  • It changed the characterization of spending from 'firming' to 'confirmed firming'.
  • The labor market description shifted from 'mixed' to 'weakening'.
  • The inflation risk language changed from 'is likely to be' to 'remains' the predominant concern.

Implications

The upgraded language on spending and productivity, alongside the downgrade on labor, suggests the FOMC sees a slightly more balanced but still weak labor market. The shift to 'remains' for the inflation risk indicates a continued, perhaps more entrenched, concern about low inflation, reinforcing the expectation that policy accommodation will persist.

Summary generated automatically from the statements. Not investment advice.