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August 12, 2003 FOMC Statement

Target rate 1.00% unchanged Vote 12–0 Tone: Clearly dovish -0.91

FOMC statement

FOMC statement

For immediate release

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to keep its target for the federal funds rate at 1 percent.

The Committee continues to believe that an accommodative stance of monetary policy, coupled with still-robust underlying growth in productivity, is providing important ongoing support to economic activity. The evidence accumulated over the intermeeting period shows that spending is firming, although labor market indicators are mixed. Business pricing power and increases in core consumer prices remain muted.

The Committee perceives that the upside and downside risks to the attainment of sustainable growth for the next few quarters are roughly equal. In contrast, the probability, though minor, of an unwelcome substantial fall in inflation exceeds that of a pickup rise in inflation from its already low level. On balance, the The Committee believes that judges that, on balance, the latter concern risk of inflation becoming undesirably low is likely to predominate be the predominant concern for the foreseeable future. In these circumstances, the Committee believes that policy accommodation can be maintained for a considerable period.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were were: Alan Greenspan, Chairman; Ben S. Bernanke; Susan S. Bies; J. Alfred Broaddus, Jr.; Roger W. Ferguson, Jr.; Edward M. Gramlich; Jack Guynn; Donald L. Kohn; Michael H. Moskow; Mark W. Olson; Robert T. Parry; and Jamie B. Stewart, Jr.

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to lower its target for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 1 percent. In a related action, the Board of Governors approved a 25 basis point reduction in the discount rate to 2 percent.

The Committee continues to believe that an accommodative stance of monetary policy, coupled with still robust underlying growth in productivity, is providing important ongoing support to economic activity. Recent signs point to a firming in spending, markedly improved financial conditions, and labor and product markets that are stabilizing. The economy, nonetheless, has yet to exhibit sustainable growth. With inflationary expectations subdued, the Committee judged that a slightly more expansive monetary policy would add further support for an economy which it expects to improve over time.

Voting against the action was Robert T. Parry. President Parry preferred a 50 basis point reduction in the target for the federal funds rate.

In taking the discount rate action, the Federal Reserve Board approved the requests submitted by the Boards of Directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, New York, St. Louis, Kansas City, and San Francisco.

Source

Our summary

What changed

  • The FOMC kept the federal funds rate target at 1 percent, after lowering it by 25 basis points in June.
  • No discount rate action was taken; the previous statement's 25 basis point reduction to 2 percent was removed.
  • Economic language shifted from 'stabilizing' labor and product markets to 'mixed' labor indicators, with spending firming.
  • The FOMC added that policy accommodation can be maintained for a considerable period, a new forward-looking phrase.
  • The vote was unanimous; Robert Parry, who previously dissented, voted with the majority, and no dissents were recorded.

Implications

The new language signals a pause in easing, with the FOMC emphasizing that low rates will persist for an extended time.

The shift to 'mixed' labor market indicators and muted inflation suggests a cautious outlook, with the predominant risk being undesirably low inflation.

Markets may interpret the 'considerable period' phrase as a commitment to keep rates low, reducing near-term expectations of tightening.

Summary generated automatically from the statements. Not investment advice.