FOMCDiffNext minutes, Oct 7 in 6d 15h 52m 47s
December
S
M
T
W
T
F
S
12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031

December 12, 2012 FOMC Statement

Target range 0.00–0.25% unchanged Vote 11–1 · Dissents: Lacker ↑ Tone: Clearly dovish -0.99

FOMC statement

Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement

For immediate release

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in September October suggests that economic activity has and employment have continued to expand at a moderate pace in recent months. Growth in employment has been slow, and months, apart from weather-related disruptions. Although the unemployment rate has declined somewhat since the summer, it remains elevated. Household spending has advanced a bit more quickly, continued to advance, and the housing sector has shown further signs of improvement, but growth in business fixed investment has slowed. The housing sector Inflation has shown some further signs of improvement, albeit been running somewhat below the Committee’s longer-run objective, apart from a depressed level. Inflation recently picked up somewhat, reflecting higher temporary variations that largely reflect fluctuations in energy prices. Longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee remains concerned that, without sufficient policy accommodation, economic growth might not be strong enough to generate sustained improvement in labor market conditions. Furthermore, strains in global financial markets continue to pose significant downside risks to the economic outlook. The Committee also anticipates that inflation over the medium term likely would will run at or below its 2 percent objective.

To support a stronger economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at the rate most consistent with its dual mandate, the Committee will continue purchasing additional agency mortgage-backed securities at a pace of $40 billion per month. The Committee also will continue through the end of the year purchase longer-term Treasury securities after its program to extend the average maturity of its holdings of Treasury securities, and it securities is completed at the end of the year, initially at a pace of $45 billion per month. The Committee is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities. These actions, which together securities and, in January, will increase the Committee’s holdings of longer-term resume rolling over maturing Treasury securities by about $85 billion each month through the end of the year, at auction. Taken together, these actions should put maintain downward pressure on longer-term interest rates, support mortgage markets, and help to make broader financial conditions more accommodative.

The Committee will closely monitor incoming information on economic and financial developments in coming months. If the outlook for the labor market does not improve substantially, the Committee will continue its purchases of Treasury and agency mortgage-backed securities, undertake additional asset purchases, and employ its other policy tools as appropriate appropriate, until such improvement is achieved in a context of price stability. In determining the size, pace, and composition of its asset purchases, the Committee will, as always, take appropriate account of the likely efficacy and costs of such purchases.

To support continued progress toward maximum employment and price stability, the Committee expects that a highly accommodative stance of monetary policy will remain appropriate for a considerable time after the asset purchase program ends and the economic recovery strengthens. In particular, the Committee also decided today to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and currently anticipates that this exceptionally low levels range for the federal funds rate are likely to will be warranted appropriate at least through mid-2015. as long as the unemployment rate remains above 6-1/2 percent, inflation between one and two years ahead is projected to be no more than a half percentage point above the Committee’s 2 percent longer-run goal, and longer-term inflation expectations continue to be well anchored. The Committee views these thresholds as consistent with its earlier date-based guidance. In determining how long to maintain a highly accommodative stance of monetary policy, the Committee will also consider other information, including additional measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial developments. When the Committee decides to begin to remove policy accommodation, it will take a balanced approach consistent with its longer-run goals of maximum employment and inflation of 2 percent.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Dennis P. Lockhart; Sandra Pianalto; Jerome H. Powell; Sarah Bloom Raskin; Jeremy C. Stein; Daniel K. Tarullo; John C. Williams; and Janet L. Yellen. Voting against the action was Jeffrey M. Lacker, who opposed additional the asset purchases purchase program and disagreed with the description characterization of the time period over conditions under which a highly accommodative stance of monetary policy will remain appropriate and an exceptionally low levels range for the federal funds rate are likely to will be warranted. appropriate.

Statement Regarding Purchases of Treasury Securities and Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities

Source

Our summary

What changed

  • The FOMC added a new program to purchase longer-term Treasury securities at $45 billion per month after the maturity extension program ends, and will resume rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction in January.
  • The forward guidance for the federal funds rate shifted from a date-based to an economic threshold-based approach, linking the exceptionally low range to unemployment above 6-1/2 percent and inflation expectations.
  • The statement noted that inflation has been running somewhat below the longer-run objective, apart from temporary energy price fluctuations, and that unemployment has declined somewhat since the summer.
  • The FOMC now expects a highly accommodative stance to remain appropriate for a considerable time after the asset purchase program ends, rather than after the economic recovery strengthens.
  • The dissenting vote remained from Jeffrey M. Lacker, who opposed the asset purchase program and the new characterization of the conditions for the federal funds rate.

Implications

The shift to threshold-based guidance suggests the FOMC is providing more explicit conditions for policy liftoff, which could be seen as a move toward greater transparency and a stronger commitment to accommodation.

The addition of Treasury purchases indicates a broadening of asset purchases to maintain downward pressure on longer-term rates, potentially signaling a more aggressive easing stance.

The language on inflation running below objective may suggest the FOMC is more concerned about low inflation, reinforcing the case for continued accommodation.

Summary generated automatically from the statements. Not investment advice.

Projections

Each dot is one participant's projection of the federal funds rate (%) at the end of each year and in the longer run.

December June median June median

4.754.54.2543.753.53.2532.752.52.2521.751.51.2510.750.50.250 December median 0.25% June median 0.25% June: 0.25%, 16 participantsJune: 0.25%, 16 participantsJune: 0.25%, 16 participantsJune: 0.25%, 16 participantsJune: 0.25%, 16 participantsJune: 0.25%, 16 participantsJune: 0.25%, 16 participantsJune: 0.25%, 16 participantsJune: 0.25%, 16 participantsJune: 0.25%, 16 participantsJune: 0.25%, 16 participantsJune: 0.25%, 16 participantsJune: 0.25%, 16 participantsJune: 0.25%, 16 participantsJune: 0.25%, 16 participantsJune: 0.25%, 16 participantsJune: 0.5%, 2 participants (none now)June: 0.5%, 2 participants (none now)June: 0.75%, 1 participant (none now) 0.25%: 19 participants now, 16 in June0.25%: 19 participants now, 16 in June0.25%: 19 participants now, 16 in June0.25%: 19 participants now, 16 in June0.25%: 19 participants now, 16 in June0.25%: 19 participants now, 16 in June0.25%: 19 participants now, 16 in June0.25%: 19 participants now, 16 in June0.25%: 19 participants now, 16 in June0.25%: 19 participants now, 16 in June0.25%: 19 participants now, 16 in June0.25%: 19 participants now, 16 in June0.25%: 19 participants now, 16 in June0.25%: 19 participants now, 16 in June0.25%: 19 participants now, 16 in June0.25%: 19 participants now, 16 in June0.25%: 19 participants now, 16 in June0.25%: 19 participants now, 16 in June0.25%: 19 participants now, 16 in June 2012 median 0.25% was 0.25%June median 0.25% December median 0.25% June median 0.25% June: 0.25%, 13 participantsJune: 0.25%, 13 participantsJune: 0.25%, 13 participantsJune: 0.25%, 13 participantsJune: 0.25%, 13 participantsJune: 0.25%, 13 participantsJune: 0.25%, 13 participantsJune: 0.25%, 13 participantsJune: 0.25%, 13 participantsJune: 0.25%, 13 participantsJune: 0.25%, 13 participantsJune: 0.25%, 13 participantsJune: 0.25%, 13 participantsJune: 0.5%, 1 participantJune: 0.75%, 1 participant (none now)June: 1%, 1 participantJune: 1.25%, 2 participants (none now)June: 1.25%, 2 participants (none now)June: 1.75%, 1 participant (none now) 0.25%: 17 participants now, 13 in June0.25%: 17 participants now, 13 in June0.25%: 17 participants now, 13 in June0.25%: 17 participants now, 13 in June0.25%: 17 participants now, 13 in June0.25%: 17 participants now, 13 in June0.25%: 17 participants now, 13 in June0.25%: 17 participants now, 13 in June0.25%: 17 participants now, 13 in June0.25%: 17 participants now, 13 in June0.25%: 17 participants now, 13 in June0.25%: 17 participants now, 13 in June0.25%: 17 participants now, 13 in June0.25%: 17 participants now, 13 in June0.25%: 17 participants now, 13 in June0.25%: 17 participants now, 13 in June0.25%: 17 participants now, 13 in June0.5%: 1 participant now, 1 in June1%: 1 participant now, 1 in June 2013 median 0.25% was 0.25%June median 0.25% December median 0.25% June median 0.5% June: 0.25%, 6 participantsJune: 0.25%, 6 participantsJune: 0.25%, 6 participantsJune: 0.25%, 6 participantsJune: 0.25%, 6 participantsJune: 0.25%, 6 participantsJune: 0.5%, 4 participantsJune: 0.5%, 4 participantsJune: 0.5%, 4 participantsJune: 0.5%, 4 participantsJune: 0.75%, 1 participant (none now)June: 1.5%, 2 participantsJune: 1.5%, 2 participantsJune: 1.75%, 2 participantsJune: 1.75%, 2 participantsJune: 2%, 1 participant (none now)June: 2.5%, 1 participant (none now)June: 2.75%, 1 participantJune: 3%, 1 participant (none now) 0.25%: 14 participants now, 6 in June0.25%: 14 participants now, 6 in June0.25%: 14 participants now, 6 in June0.25%: 14 participants now, 6 in June0.25%: 14 participants now, 6 in June0.25%: 14 participants now, 6 in June0.25%: 14 participants now, 6 in June0.25%: 14 participants now, 6 in June0.25%: 14 participants now, 6 in June0.25%: 14 participants now, 6 in June0.25%: 14 participants now, 6 in June0.25%: 14 participants now, 6 in June0.25%: 14 participants now, 6 in June0.25%: 14 participants now, 6 in June0.5%: 1 participant now, 4 in June1.5%: 2 participants now, 2 in June1.5%: 2 participants now, 2 in June1.75%: 1 participant now, 2 in June2.75%: 1 participant now, 1 in June 2014 median 0.25% was 0.5%June median 0.5% December median 1% 0.25%: 1 participant now, 0 in June0.5%: 5 participants now, 0 in June0.5%: 5 participants now, 0 in June0.5%: 5 participants now, 0 in June0.5%: 5 participants now, 0 in June0.5%: 5 participants now, 0 in June0.75%: 3 participants now, 0 in June0.75%: 3 participants now, 0 in June0.75%: 3 participants now, 0 in June1%: 3 participants now, 0 in June1%: 3 participants now, 0 in June1%: 3 participants now, 0 in June1.25%: 2 participants now, 0 in June1.25%: 2 participants now, 0 in June2%: 1 participant now, 0 in June2.5%: 1 participant now, 0 in June3.5%: 1 participant now, 0 in June3.75%: 1 participant now, 0 in June4.5%: 1 participant now, 0 in June 2015 median 1% December median 4% June median 4.25% June: 3%, 1 participantJune: 3.5%, 1 participantJune: 3.75%, 1 participantJune: 4%, 6 participantsJune: 4%, 6 participantsJune: 4%, 6 participantsJune: 4%, 6 participantsJune: 4%, 6 participantsJune: 4%, 6 participantsJune: 4.25%, 5 participantsJune: 4.25%, 5 participantsJune: 4.25%, 5 participantsJune: 4.25%, 5 participantsJune: 4.25%, 5 participantsJune: 4.5%, 5 participantsJune: 4.5%, 5 participantsJune: 4.5%, 5 participantsJune: 4.5%, 5 participantsJune: 4.5%, 5 participants 3%: 1 participant now, 1 in June3.5%: 1 participant now, 1 in June3.75%: 3 participants now, 1 in June3.75%: 3 participants now, 1 in June3.75%: 3 participants now, 1 in June4%: 5 participants now, 6 in June4%: 5 participants now, 6 in June4%: 5 participants now, 6 in June4%: 5 participants now, 6 in June4%: 5 participants now, 6 in June4.25%: 6 participants now, 5 in June4.25%: 6 participants now, 5 in June4.25%: 6 participants now, 5 in June4.25%: 6 participants now, 5 in June4.25%: 6 participants now, 5 in June4.25%: 6 participants now, 5 in June4.5%: 3 participants now, 5 in June4.5%: 3 participants now, 5 in June4.5%: 3 participants now, 5 in June Longer run median 4% was 4.25%June median 4.25%

Scroll the chart sideways for the later years.

Press conference

December 12, 2012, 2:30 p.m. ET · Read the transcript

What Bernanke said that the statement didn't

Summary generated automatically from the transcript and the statement.