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September 21, 2011 FOMC Statement

Target range 0.00–0.25% unchanged Vote 7–3 · Dissents: Fisher ↑, Kocherlakota ↑, Plosser ↑ Tone: Clearly dovish -0.98

FOMC statement

Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement FOMC statement

For immediate release

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in June August indicates that economic growth so far this year has been considerably slower than the Committee had expected. Indicators suggest a deterioration remains slow. Recent indicators point to continuing weakness in overall labor market conditions in recent months, conditions, and the unemployment rate has moved up. remains elevated. Household spending has flattened out, investment been increasing at only a modest pace in recent months despite some recovery in sales of motor vehicles as supply-chain disruptions eased. Investment in nonresidential structures is still weak, and the housing sector remains depressed. However, business investment in equipment and software continues to expand. Temporary factors, including the damping effect of higher food and energy prices on consumer purchasing power and spending as well as supply chain disruptions associated with the tragic events in Japan, appear to account for only some of the recent weakness in economic activity. Inflation picked up appears to have moderated since earlier in the year, mainly reflecting higher prices for some commodities and imported goods, year as well as the supply chain disruptions. More recently, inflation has moderated as prices of energy and some commodities have declined from their earlier peaks. Longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee now expects a somewhat slower continues to expect some pickup in the pace of recovery over coming quarters than it did at the time of the previous meeting and but anticipates that the unemployment rate will decline only gradually toward levels that the Committee judges to be consistent with its dual mandate. Moreover, there are significant downside risks to the economic outlook have increased. outlook, including strains in global financial markets. The Committee also anticipates that inflation will settle, over coming quarters, at levels at or below those consistent with the Committee's dual mandate as the effects of past energy and other commodity price increases dissipate further. However, the Committee will continue to pay close attention to the evolution of inflation and inflation expectations.

To support a stronger economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at levels consistent with the dual mandate, the Committee decided today to extend the average maturity of its holdings of securities. The Committee intends to purchase, by the end of June 2012, $400 billion of Treasury securities with remaining maturities of 6 years to 30 years and to sell an equal amount of Treasury securities with remaining maturities of 3 years or less. This program should put downward pressure on longer-term interest rates and help make broader financial conditions more accommodative. The Committee will regularly review the size and composition of its securities holdings and is prepared to adjust those holdings as appropriate.

To help support conditions in mortgage markets, the Committee will now reinvest principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities. In addition, the Committee will maintain its existing policy of rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction.

To promote the ongoing economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at levels consistent with its mandate, the The Committee also decided today to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent. The Committee percent and currently anticipates that economic conditions--including low rates of resource utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium run--are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through mid-2013. The Committee also will maintain its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its securities holdings. The Committee will regularly review the size and composition of its securities holdings and is prepared to adjust those holdings as appropriate.

The Committee discussed the range of policy tools available to promote a stronger economic recovery in a context of price stability. It will continue to assess the economic outlook in light of incoming information and is prepared to employ these its tools as appropriate.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Charles L. Evans; Sarah Bloom Raskin; Daniel K. Tarullo; and Janet L. Yellen. Voting against the action were Richard W. Fisher, Narayana Kocherlakota, and Charles I. Plosser, who did not support additional policy accommodation at this time.

Maturity Extension Program and Reinvestment Policy

Frequently Asked Questions: Maturity Extension Program and Reinvestment Policy

Current FAQs

September 21, 2011

What is the Federal Reserve's maturity extension program (referred to by some as "operation twist") and what is its purpose?

Voting against the action were: Richard W. Fisher, Narayana Kocherlakota, and Charles I. Plosser, who would have preferred to continue to describe economic conditions as likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate for an extended period.

Source

Our summary

What changed

  • The FOMC announced a maturity extension program, planning to buy $400 billion of longer-dated Treasury securities and sell an equal amount of shorter-dated ones by June 2012.
  • It shifted reinvestment policy to channel principal payments from agency debt and mortgage-backed securities into agency mortgage-backed securities, while continuing to roll over maturing Treasuries.
  • Economic language was updated: growth is now described as 'remains slow' rather than 'considerably slower than expected,' with household spending rising modestly and inflation moderating.
  • Downside risks were upgraded to 'significant,' explicitly citing strains in global financial markets, a new addition.
  • The federal funds rate target range and forward guidance through mid-2013 were retained, with the same dissenting voters but a new reason: they opposed additional accommodation.

Implications

The new maturity extension and mortgage reinvestment measures signal a shift toward balance-sheet tools to ease financial conditions without changing the rate path.

The explicit mention of global financial strains suggests the FOMC is more concerned about external spillovers, potentially keeping policy accommodative longer.

The unchanged rate guidance and dissents indicate internal disagreement over the need for further easing, with the majority favoring additional support.

Summary generated automatically from the statements. Not investment advice.