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December 11, 2007 FOMC Statement

Target rate 4.25% ▼ cut 0.25 pp Vote 9–1 · Dissents: Rosengren ↓ Tone: Leaning dovish -0.73

FOMC statement

FOMC statement

For immediate release

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to lower its target for the federal funds rate 25 basis points to 4-1/2 4-1/4 percent.

Incoming information suggests that economic growth is slowing, reflecting the intensification of the housing correction and some softening in business and consumer spending. Moreover, strains in financial markets have increased in recent weeks.  Today’s action, combined with the policy actions taken earlier, should help promote moderate growth over time.

Readings on core inflation have improved modestly this year, but recent increases in elevated energy and commodity prices, among other factors, may put renewed upward pressure on inflation. In this context, the Committee judges that some inflation risks remain, and it will continue to monitor inflation developments carefully.

The Committee judges that, after this action, Recent developments, including the upside risks to inflation roughly balance deterioration in financial market conditions, have increased the downside risks to growth. uncertainty surrounding the outlook for economic growth and inflation. The Committee will continue to assess the effects of financial and other developments on economic prospects and will act as needed to foster price stability and sustainable economic growth.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Charles L. Evans; Thomas M. Hoenig; Donald L. Kohn; Randall S. Kroszner; Frederic S. Mishkin; William Poole; Eric S. Rosengren; and Kevin M. Warsh. Voting against was Thomas M. Hoenig, Eric S. Rosengren, who preferred no change in to lower the target for the federal funds rate by 50 basis points at this meeting.

In a related action, the Board of Governors unanimously approved a 25-basis-point decrease in the discount rate to 5 4-3/4 percent. In taking this action, the Board approved the requests submitted by the Boards of Directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of New York, Philadelphia, Cleveland, Richmond, Atlanta, Chicago, St. Louis, and San Francisco. St. Louis.

Economic growth was solid in the third quarter, and strains in financial markets have eased somewhat on balance.  However, the pace of economic expansion will likely slow in the near term, partly reflecting the intensification of the housing correction.  Today’s action, combined with the policy action taken in September, should help forestall some of the adverse effects on the broader economy that might otherwise arise from the disruptions in financial markets and promote moderate growth over time.

Source

Our summary

What changed

  • The FOMC cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 4-1/4 percent, and the discount rate by 25 basis points to 4-3/4 percent.
  • Economic language shifted from 'solid growth' in Q3 with easing financial strains to 'growth is slowing' with 'strains in financial markets have increased'.
  • The statement dropped the earlier balance of risks phrase (upside inflation vs. downside growth) and instead highlighted increased uncertainty around the outlook.
  • Inflation language changed from 'recent increases' to 'elevated' energy and commodity prices as a potential upward pressure factor.
  • The dissenting vote shifted from Hoenig (preferring no change) to Rosengren (preferring a 50-basis-point cut).

Implications

The FOMC now sees financial strains worsening and economic momentum fading, which may justify further easing if conditions deteriorate. The elevated uncertainty wording suggests a data-dependent posture, with no clear signal on the next move. Markets might interpret the new dissent as growing internal pressure for more aggressive action.

Summary generated automatically from the statements. Not investment advice.