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August 10, 2004 FOMC Statement

Target rate 1.50% ▲ raised 0.25 pp Vote 12–0 Tone: Balanced +0.20

FOMC statement

FOMC statement and Board discount rate action

For immediate release

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to raise its target for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 1-1/4 1-1/2 percent.

The Committee believes that, even after this action, the stance of monetary policy remains accommodative and, coupled with robust underlying growth in productivity, is providing ongoing support to economic activity. The evidence accumulated over the intermeeting period indicates that In recent months, output is continuing to expand at a solid pace growth has moderated and the pace of improvement in labor market conditions have improved. Although incoming inflation data are has slowed. This softness likely owes importantly to the substantial rise in energy prices. The economy nevertheless appears poised to resume a stronger pace of expansion going forward. Inflation has been somewhat elevated, elevated this year, though a portion of the increase rise in recent months appears prices seems to have been due to reflect transitory factors.

The Committee perceives the upside and downside risks to the attainment of both sustainable growth and price stability for the next few quarters are roughly equal. With underlying inflation still expected to be relatively low, the Committee believes that policy accommodation can be removed at a pace that is likely to be measured. Nonetheless, the Committee will respond to changes in economic prospects as needed to fulfill its obligation to maintain price stability.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Alan Greenspan, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Ben S. Bernanke; Susan S. Bies; Roger W. Ferguson, Jr.; Edward M. Gramlich; Thomas M. Hoenig; Donald L. Kohn; Cathy E. Minehan; Mark W. Olson; Sandra Pianalto; and William Poole.

In a related action, the Board of Governors unanimously approved a 25 basis point increase in the discount rate to 2-1/4 2-1/2 percent. In taking this action, the Board approved the requests submitted by the Boards of Directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Cleveland, Richmond, Atlanta, Chicago, St. Louis, Minneapolis, Kansas City, Dallas Dallas, and San Francisco.

Source

Our summary

What changed

  • Raised the federal funds rate target by 25 basis points to 1-1/2 percent.
  • Noted that output growth has moderated and labor market improvement has slowed, attributing the softness largely to higher energy prices.
  • Adjusted inflation language to say it has been 'somewhat elevated this year' rather than 'incoming inflation data are somewhat elevated'.
  • Added that the economy appears poised to resume a stronger pace of expansion going forward.
  • Approved a 25 basis point increase in the discount rate to 2-1/2 percent, with the Board of Governors acting unanimously.

Implications

The statement acknowledges a recent slowdown but frames it as temporary, suggesting the FOMC still expects to continue removing accommodation at a measured pace. The unchanged risk assessment and forward guidance indicate no shift in the policy trajectory, though the emphasis on energy prices may signal watchfulness for inflation pass-through.

Summary generated automatically from the statements. Not investment advice.