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January 30, 2002 FOMC Statement

Target rate 1.75% unchanged Vote 10–0 Tone: Leaning dovish -0.71

FOMC statement

FOMC statement FOMC statement and Board discount rate action

For immediate release

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to keep its target for the federal funds rate unchanged at 1-3/4 percent.

Signs that weakness in demand is abating and economic activity is beginning to firm have become more prevalent. With the forces restraining the economy starting to diminish, and with the long-term prospects for productivity growth remaining favorable and monetary policy accommodative, the outlook for economic recovery has become more promising.

Economic activity remains soft, with underlying inflation likely to edge lower from relatively modest levels. To be sure, weakness in demand shows signs The degree of abating, but those signs are preliminary any strength in business capital and tentative. The household spending, however, is still uncertain. Hence, the Committee continues to believe that, against the background of its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth and of the information currently available, the risks are weighted mainly toward conditions that may generate economic weakness in the foreseeable future.

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to lower its target for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 1-3/4 percent. In a related action, the Board of Governors approved a 25 basis point reduction in the discount rate to 1-1/4 percent.

Although the necessary reallocation of resources to enhance security may restrain advances in productivity for a time, the long-term prospects for productivity growth and the economy remain favorable and should become evident once the unusual forces restraining demand abate.

In taking the discount rate action, the Federal Reserve Board approved the requests submitted by the Boards of Directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Chicago and San Francisco.

Source

Our summary

What changed

  • The FOMC kept the federal funds rate target unchanged at 1-3/4 percent, after lowering it by 25 basis points in December.
  • The statement no longer mentions a discount rate action or the related Board of Governors approval.
  • Economic language shifted from 'activity remains soft' to signs of abating weakness and a more promising recovery outlook.
  • The current statement adds that the degree of strength in business capital and household spending is still uncertain.
  • The reference to security-related resource reallocation restraining productivity was removed.

Implications

The unchanged rate and more optimistic outlook suggest the easing cycle may be pausing, with the FOMC seeing recovery as more likely but still cautious about spending strength.

Markets might read the removal of the discount rate action and the softer inflation language as reduced urgency for further cuts, while the added uncertainty about spending could keep the door open for future easing if data disappoint.

Summary generated automatically from the statements. Not investment advice.