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November 16, 1999 FOMC Statement

Target rate 5.50% ▲ raised 0.25 pp Vote 10–0 Tone: Leaning hawkish +0.63

FOMC statement

FOMC statement

For immediate release

The Federal Open Market Committee today voted to raise its target for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 5-1/2 percent. In a related action, the Board of Governors approved a 25 basis point increase in the discount rate to 5 percent.

Although cost pressures appear generally contained, risks to sustainable growth persist. Despite tentative evidence of a slowing in certain interest-sensitive sectors of the economy and of accelerating productivity, the expansion of activity continues in excess of the economy's growth potential. As a consequence, the pool of available workers willing to take jobs has been drawn down further in recent months, a trend that must eventually be contained if inflationary imbalances are to remain in check and economic expansion continue.

Today's increase in the federal funds rate, together with the policy actions in June and August and the firming of conditions more generally in U.S. financial markets over the course of the year, should markedly diminish the risk of inflation going forward. As a consequence, the directive the Federal Open Market Committee adopted is symmetrical with regard to the outlook for policy over the near term.

In taking the discount rate action, the Federal Reserve Board approved requests submitted by the Boards of Directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, Cleveland, Richmond and Kansas City. The discount rate is the rate charged depository institutions when they borrow short-term adjustment credit from their district Federal Reserve Banks.

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to leave its target for the federal funds rate unchanged.

Strengthening productivity growth has been fostering favorable trends in unit costs and prices, and much recent information suggests that these trends have been sustained.

Nonetheless, the growth of demand has continued to outpace that of supply, as evidenced by a decreasing pool of available workers willing to take jobs. In these circumstances, the Federal Open Market Committee will need to be especially alert in the months ahead to the potential for costs to increase significantly in excess of productivity in a manner that could contribute to inflation pressures and undermine the impressive performance of the economy.

Against this background, the Committee adopted a directive that was biased toward a possible firming of policy going forward. Committee members emphasized that such a directive did not signify a commitment to near-term action. The Committee will need to evaluate additional information on the balance of aggregate supply and demand and conditions in financial markets.

Source

Our summary

What changed

  • Raised the federal funds rate target by 25 basis points to 5-1/2 percent, and the Board of Governors approved a 25 basis point increase in the discount rate to 5 percent.
  • Replaced the prior assessment of sustained favorable cost and price trends with language noting cost pressures appear generally contained but risks to sustainable growth persist.
  • Shifted the directive from one biased toward possible firming to a symmetrical directive regarding the near-term policy outlook.
  • Cited the rate increase, along with June and August actions and tighter financial conditions, as expected to markedly diminish inflation risk going forward.
  • Noted the discount rate action was based on requests from the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, Cleveland, Richmond, and Kansas City.

Implications

The move to a symmetrical directive signals the FOMC sees the cumulative tightening as sufficient to address inflation risks in the near term, reducing the likelihood of an immediate further hike.

The emphasis on contained cost pressures and slowing in some sectors suggests a more balanced view of the economy, potentially allowing policy to pause and assess incoming data.

Markets may interpret the shift as a step toward a less hawkish stance, though the statement leaves room for future action if conditions warrant.

Summary generated automatically from the statements. Not investment advice.