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June 30, 1999 FOMC Statement

Target rate 5.00% ▲ raised 0.25 pp Vote 9–1 · Dissents: McTeer ↓ Tone: Leaning hawkish +0.42

FOMC statement

FOMC statement

For immediate release

The Federal Open Market Committee today voted to raise its target for the federal funds rate 25 basis points to 5 percent. Last fall the Committee reduced interest rates to counter a significant seizing-up of financial markets in the United States. Since then much of the financial strain has eased, foreign economies have firmed, and economic activity in the United States has moved forward at a brisk pace. Accordingly, the full degree of adjustment is judged no longer necessary.

Labor markets have continued to tighten over recent quarters, but strengthening productivity growth has contained inflationary pressures.

Owing to the uncertain resolution of the balance of conflicting forces in the economy going forward, the FOMC has chosen to adopt a directive that includes no predilection about near-term policy action. The Committee, nonetheless, recognizes that in the current dynamic environment it must be especially alert to the emergence, or potential emergence, of inflationary forces that could undermine economic growth.

The Federal Reserve released the following statement after today's Federal Open Market Committee meeting:

While the FOMC did not take action today to alter the stance of monetary policy, the Committee was concerned about the potential for a buildup of inflationary imbalances that could undermine the favorable performance of the economy and therefore adopted a directive that is tilted toward the possibility of a firming in the stance of monetary policy. Trend increases in costs and core prices have generally remained quite subdued. But domestic financial markets have recovered and foreign economic prospects have improved since the easing of monetary policy last fall. Against the background of already-tight domestic labor markets and ongoing strength in demand in excess of productivity gains, the Committee recognizes the need to be alert to developments over coming months that might indicate that financial conditions may no longer be consistent with containing inflation.

Source

Our summary

What changed

  • The FOMC raised the federal funds rate target by 25 basis points to 5 percent, a shift from the previous no-action stance.
  • The directive changed from being tilted toward possible firming to having no predilection about near-term policy action.
  • The statement replaced subdued cost and price trends with language noting tighter labor markets but contained inflation due to productivity growth.
  • The rationale for the rate hike cited eased financial strain, firmer foreign economies, and brisk U.S. activity, making the prior easing no longer necessary.
  • The FOMC's alertness to inflation risks was rephrased, emphasizing the current dynamic environment and potential inflationary forces.

Implications

The shift to a neutral directive suggests the FOMC sees the rate hike as addressing immediate risks, leaving future moves data-dependent. Markets might interpret the removal of the tightening bias as a signal that further hikes are not imminent, but the emphasis on vigilance keeps the door open if inflation pressures build.

Summary generated automatically from the statements. Not investment advice.