January 28–29 · Published February 19, 2014
Statement·Presser·Minutes·Policy
BBBen S. BernankeJanuary 28–29, 2014 FOMC Minutes
Our reading
The minutes read consistent with the statement because they reflect the same key decisions and economic assessments, such as the agreement to reduce asset purchases starting in February (to $30 billion in MBS and $35 billion in Treasuries), the unchanged federal funds rate target range, and the reaffirmation of forward guidance, all of which align with the statement's content.
Our reading compares the minutes of the January 28–29 FOMC meeting with the FOMC statement issued at the end of that meeting, three weeks before the minutes were published.
Vote
- Ben S. Bernanke
- William C. Dudley
- Richard W. Fisher
- Narayana Kocherlakota
- Sandra Pianalto
- Charles I. Plosser
- Jerome H. Powell
- Jeremy C. Stein
- Daniel K. Tarullo
- Janet L. Yellen
From the minutes
FOMC minutes
To support continued progress toward maximum employment and price stability, the Committee today reaffirmed its view that a highly accommodative stance of monetary policy will remain appropriate for a considerable time after the asset purchase program ends and the economic recovery strengthens. The Committee also reaffirmed its expectation that the current exceptionally low target range for the federal funds rate of 0 to ¼ percent will be appropriate at least as long as the unemployment rate remains above 6-1/2 percent, inflation between one and two years ahead is projected to be no more than a half percentage point above the Committee's 2 percent longer-run goal, and longer-term inflation expectations continue to be well anchored. In determining how long to maintain a highly accommodative stance of monetary policy, the Committee will also consider other information, including additional measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial developments. The Committee continues to anticipate, based on its assessment of these factors, that it likely will be appropriate to maintain the current target range for the federal funds rate well past the time that the unemployment rate declines below 6-1/2 percent, especially if projected inflation continues to run below the Committee's 2 percent longer-run goal. When the Committee decides to begin to remove policy accommodation, it will take a balanced approach consistent with its longer-run goals of maximum employment and inflation of 2 percent."
Voting for this action: Ben Bernanke, William C. Dudley, Richard W. Fisher, Narayana Kocherlakota, Sandra Pianalto, Charles I. Plosser, Jerome H. Powell, Jeremy C. Stein, Daniel K. Tarullo, and Janet L. Yellen.
Voting against this action: None.
It was agreed that the next meeting of the Committee would be held on Tuesday-Wednesday, March 18-19, 2014. The meeting adjourned at 10:55 a.m. on January 29, 2014.
What changed from the previous meeting’s minutes
- Asset purchases reduced from $40B to $35B in Treasuries and $35B to $30B in MBS starting February.
- All members voted for the policy action; no dissents, versus one dissent in December.
- Committee members changed from Bernanke, Dudley, Bullard, Evans, George, Powell, Stein, Tarullo, Yellen to include Fisher, Kocherlakota, Pianalto, Plosser.
- Forward guidance retained thresholds-based language; December added qualitative guidance, January reiterated it.
- Participants discussed raising federal funds rate relatively soon, citing higher equilibrium real rate and policy rules.
- Financial stability risks added to factors guiding federal funds rate decisions after threshold crossed.
Summary generated automatically from the two documents.