September 22–23 · Published October 14, 2009
Statement·Presser·Minutes
BBBen S. BernankeSeptember 22–23, 2009 FOMC Minutes
Our reading
The minutes are consistent with the statement because both documents convey the same key assessments and policy decisions: economic activity has picked up from its severe downturn, financial markets have improved, housing activity has increased, household spending is stabilizing but constrained by weak labor and credit conditions, and businesses are cutting back at a slower pace. Both also agree that inflation will remain subdued due to resource slack and stable inflation expectations, and that the federal funds rate will stay at 0 to 1/4 percent for an extended period, with the Fed purchasing $1.25 trillion in agency MBS and up to $200 billion in agency debt, gradually slowing these purchases and completing them by the end of the first quarter of 2010. The minutes elaborate on these points with detailed participant discussions, but they do not contradict the statement's content or policy stance.
Our reading compares the minutes of the September 22–23 FOMC meeting with the FOMC statement issued at the end of that meeting, three weeks before the minutes were published.
Vote
- Ben S. Bernanke
- William C. Dudley
- Elizabeth A. Duke
- Rudolph M. Evans
- Donald L. Kohn
- Jeffrey M. Lacker
- Dennis P. Lockhart
- Daniel K. Tarullo
- Kevin Warsh
- Janet L. Yellen
From the minutes
FOMC minutes
In these circumstances, the Federal Reserve will continue to employ a wide range of tools to promote economic recovery and to preserve price stability. The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that economic conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period. To provide support to mortgage lending and housing markets and to improve overall conditions in private credit markets, the Federal Reserve will purchase a total of $1.25 trillion of agency mortgage-backed securities and up to $200 billion of agency debt. The Committee will gradually slow the pace of these purchases in order to promote a smooth transition in markets and anticipates that they will be executed by the end of the first quarter of 2010. As previously announced, the Federal Reserve's purchases of $300 billion of Treasury securities will be completed by the end of October 2009. The Committee will continue to evaluate the timing and overall amounts of its purchases of securities in light of the evolving economic outlook and conditions in financial markets. The Federal Reserve is monitoring the size and composition of its balance sheet and will make adjustments to its credit and liquidity programs as warranted."
Voting for this action: Messrs. Bernanke and Dudley, Ms. Duke, Messrs. Evans, Kohn, Lacker, Lockhart, Tarullo, and Warsh, and Ms. Yellen.
Voting against this action: None.
It was agreed that the next meeting of the Committee would be held on Tuesday-Wednesday, November 3-4, 2009. The meeting adjourned at 12:35 p.m. on September 23, 2009.
What changed from the previous meeting’s minutes
- Participants revised up their projections for the second half of 2009 and subsequent years.
- The FOMC decided to purchase the full $1.25 trillion of agency MBS, not just up to that amount.
- Agency MBS and agency debt purchase completion was extended to the end of the first quarter of 2010.
- The Treasury securities purchase completion date remained the end of October 2009.
- The statement changed "leveling out" to "picked up" regarding economic activity.
Summary generated automatically from the two documents.